In recent months, Bitcoin’s price has surged again, reaching new all-time highs and attracting the attention of both global and local investors. However, this rise is not merely driven by euphoria. Behind the price spike lies a combination of strong fundamental factors, from institutional adoption via ETFs and derivatives market dynamics to global macroeconomic conditions.
Here are the key drivers believed to be fueling the current Bitcoin rally:
1. Large Inflows into Bitcoin Spot ETFs
Since early 2024, the crypto market has been energized by the approval of several Bitcoin spot ETFs in the United States. These products allow institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without having to directly own or manage the crypto asset.
Recent data shows that by May 2025, cumulative inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs had surpassed $40 billion. This is a strong signal that Bitcoin is increasingly accepted by major financial institutions, including global asset managers, pension funds, and even investment banks.
ETF access has made Bitcoin a more accessible, transparent, and integrated asset within the traditional financial system. The influx of large-scale capital has become a key catalyst driving up demand for Bitcoin.
2. Surge in Futures Market Open Interest
Beyond the spot market, developments in the derivatives market also provide crucial insights into investor sentiment toward Bitcoin. One frequently monitored metric is open interest (OI), which refers to the total value of outstanding futures contracts.
According to data from Coinglass, Bitcoin’s OI has climbed to its highest level since the start of the year. When OI increases alongside price, it is generally seen as a signal that many market participants are taking long positions, anticipating further price gains.
This rise indicates strong confidence among market players in the continuation of the bullish trend. The combination of new capital inflows from ETFs and active participation in derivatives is creating significant buying pressure in the market.
3. Rising Money Supply (M2)
From a macroeconomic perspective, data from the Federal Reserve (FRED) shows that the U.S. money supply (M2) has been increasing again since late 2023. After declining post-pandemic, this upward trend indicates that liquidity is returning to the financial system.
An increase in money supply is often associated with inflation risks and a weakening of fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar. In this context, Bitcoin is seen as a hedge against the dollar’s loss of purchasing power, similar to gold but digital.
Because Bitcoin’s total supply is limited to 21 million coins, many investors view BTC as a scarce hard asset that resists inflation. This narrative is gaining renewed traction with the rise in M2, further enhancing Bitcoin’s appeal as a long-term store of value.
Overall, this Bitcoin rally is not merely fueled by short-term speculation but also by structural developments that strengthen its position as a primary digital asset. If the current trends continue, Bitcoin could very well keep breaking new records in the future.
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